习近平在交接权力。贸易战侧面证实中国在权力交接。巡视组要清洗谁？谁是关税战的赢家？
习近平在交接权力。贸易战侧面证实中国在权力交接。巡视组要清洗谁？谁是关税战的赢家？
大家好， 这名网友说，大包，如果习近平大权旁落，又是谁主导和美国硬刚关税？
我的回复是
最近中国对川普新关税的回击引发热议，但是由于中共黑箱政治，我们无从得知主导者是谁。当前显然处于权力交接期，习近平的统治面临挑战，权力空虚迹象显现。然而，为什么认定胡锦涛和温家宝就一定比习近平强呢？我一直认为，派系划分不能简单以“改革”或“保守”定义，朱镕基与习近平同属一派。朱镕基以所谓经济才能著称，却与习近平一样把中国经济推向崩溃。这些一直是朱镕基经济团队在帮习近平打理中国经济啊。最后结果就是现在这个结果。我最开始研究出来朱镕基和习近平是一个派系的时候，我的第一反应就是如果中国人知道这个现实，会不会对中国经济的前景更悲观。
从希音（SHEIN）试图外移生产线却遭官方劝阻的事件看，无论哪一派掌权，都是共产党，都在拼命保住就业和经济。指望胡锦涛救中国不过是幻想，胡锦涛也是共产党的一员。
川普宣布对中国加征34%关税，并取消小额包裹免税政策，直接冲击中国出口制造业。根据《彭博社》报道，快时尚巨头希音计划将省产线搬到越南等地，却被中国商务部劝阻，甚至取消了供应商的海外考察行程。这发生在川普加关税的前几天，显示中国不惜动用行政手段维持“世界工厂”地位，避免产能外流引发失业危机。希音依赖广州“希音村”的低成本服装厂，主打欧美市场，但年年2025年5月2日，美国的小额包裹免税免税政策取消后，希音的成本将飙升数十亿美元。尽管早在2月川普表态时，希音已经推动供应商海外设厂，但在政府压力下，这一计划被迫搁置。
这并非习近平独有的策略，而是共产党各个派系的共同逻辑。朱镕基1998-2003年任总理，以国企改革和入世贸闻名，却导致工人下岗、经济隐患深埋。习近平接手后，面对债务和产能过剩危机，经济下行加剧。希音事件表明，两人都以维护党的独裁统治为优先考虑，经济崩溃是派系一致性的结果，而非改革与保守的分野。胡锦涛2002-2012年执政，靠出口和房地产拉动增长，次贷危机后“大水漫灌”保经济，却为今日危机埋雷。胡锦涛重掌大权，可能要推胡春华上位，仍然会延续保就业、保增长的套路，与习近平没有本质区别。
权力交接期的空虚加剧了不确定性。刘鹤之子、苗华等人被抓，石泰峰掌中组部，江绵恒亮相，暗示习近平失去大权。但这不代表胡锦涛能带来改变。希音被阻外迁，凸显中共在动荡期仍然紧抓经济控制权。胡温时代被怀念为“和谐社会”，但胡温的政策同样服务于党，指望胡锦涛救国是对中共本质的误判。只不过胡锦涛已经下台10多年，大家忘了胡锦涛干的那些抽象的事情而已。
朱镕基与习近平同属一个派系，照样把中国经济搞垮已经证明，派系标签不决定成败。无论谁主导回击关税，共产党保生存的初心不变，胡锦涛党国优先，救中国经济纯属空想。
相反，民主国家领导人的表现与中共黑箱政治截然不同。台湾赖清德总统关于川普贸易战的应对影片大概8分钟，我大概能看到第6分钟。不管内容是什么起码能让我听下去。就是他应对很有序，很有内容，一条一条的很清晰。
他分析川普32%关税对台湾冲击，指出2024年对美出口占23.4%，但75%销往他国，且65.4%为ICT产品，显示韧性。他提出不报复，而是推“零关税”谈判、增购美产品、助台企投资美国，条理分明。相比之下，中共对关税的回应多是“坚决反制”这类空话，具体措施模糊，外界难猜主导者。
这种差异源于体制。赖清德需公开赢得民意支持，台湾依赖美国安全保障，关税是要钱又不是要命。他抓住这以点，聚焦经济调整与外交，既维护盟友关系，又安抚民众。反观中共，权力交接期空虚，决策不透明，比如希音外移被劝阻，显示保就业的核心目标，但是缺乏系统阐述，显示决策不畅。现在新的总书记没有证实上台，旧的团队还没有完全替换，肯定是以习近平的班底为主，但是习近平又不掌握大权，肯定是拧巴啊。赖清德的务实与清晰，体现民主领导人面对公众的必要能力，而中共黑箱政治下的模糊强硬，到底怎么决策的，别人也不知道。他的影片虽然未必完美，却展现了民主体制的安定感，与中共形成鲜明对比。
川普的关税政策对印度可能带来意想不到的利好。首先，川普对印度商品加征了26%的关税，表面上增加了出口成本，但与其他国家相比，这一税率仍属较低，且存在谈判空间。其次，通过对中国施加更高关税，川普实际上削弱了印度在全球市场上的最大竞争对手——中国，为印度经济战略提供了有利条件。
关税的谈判空间为印度带来机会
川普对印度商品征收26%的关税，虽然看似提高了贸易壁垒，但相较于其他国家，如中国（54%）、越南（46%）等，这一税率并不算高。更重要的是，这一政策并非铁板一块，而是留有谈判余地。印度商工部长高约尔在印度全球论坛上明确表示，当前全球贸易动荡是“千载难逢的机会”，并强调印度正积极与美国谈判双边贸易协议，目标是在秋季前达成成果。美国国务卿鲁比欧与印度外长苏杰生的讨论也表明，双方有意朝“公平和平衡的贸易关系”迈进。这种背景下，印度有可能通过外交努力将关税从26%降至20%，甚至15%，从而减轻出口压力。
印度已展现出务实态度，避免报复性关税，而是选择对话。高约尔指出，印度视川普的关税战为供应链重塑的契机，而非威胁。这种策略不仅能缓解短期经济冲击，还可能通过谈判换取更优惠的市场准入条件。例如，印度已提出降低对230亿美元美国商品的关税（从5-30%降至零），显示出让步诚意。若谈判成功，关税下调将直接提升印度商品在美国市场的竞争力，尤其是在电子产品、制药和纺织等领域，这些正是“印度制造”计划的重点。
削弱中国为印度扫清竞争障碍
川普对中国商品加征高达54%的关税（包括此前20%加上新增34%），将中国出口美国的成本大幅推高，使其在美市场份额面临压缩。作为印度的最大竞争对手，中国在电子、纺织和制造业领域的霸主地位被削弱，这为印度提供了填补空缺的黄金机会。高约尔明确将全球贸易动荡归咎于中国加入WTO后的“不公平贸易”行为，与川普的立场不谋而合。这种共识为印度争取美国支持提供了意识形态基础，也暗示印度可能借机承接从中国外溢的供应链。
彭博资讯报道指出，印度认为关税战带来的全球供应链重组对其有利。相比中国，印度26%的关税显得温和，美国企业为规避高额成本，可能转向印度采购。例如，苹果公司已通过富士康将部分生产线从中国移至印度，2024年印度手机出口激增44%，达200亿美元。若川普继续加码对中国施压，印度在制造业和出口领域的“替代者”角色将进一步强化。印度商工部长高约尔强调，印度是“增长最快的大型经济体”，其国内需求和劳动力优势使其有能力抓住这一机遇。
印度经济的战略利好
即便关税维持在26%，印度经济受到的冲击也相对可控。印度对美出口占其GDP比重仅2.2%，远低于越南（25.1%）等国，显示其对外部需求的依赖较低。此外，印度对美贸易顺差（2024年370亿美元）远小于中国（3200亿美元），这使其在谈判中拥有一定筹码。美国智库分析认为，印度可能通过供应链转移获益，尤其在纺织、电子和制药领域，与“印度制造”战略高度契合。相比之下，中国经济因关税战面临1.5%的GDP增长下滑，凸显印度相对的竞争优势。
正如印度商工部长高约尔所言，这是一个“历史时刻”，印度若把握得当，或将在川普掀起的贸易战中成为赢家。
这名网友说，经党中央批准，二十届中央第五轮巡视将对河北省、山西省、内蒙古自治区、吉林省、浙江省、安徽省、江西省、河南省、湖北省、湖南省、海南省、四川省、云南省、甘肃省、宁夏回族自治区、新疆生产建设兵团开展常规巡视，对云南省昆明市开展提级巡视，并会同有关省委巡视机构对长春市、杭州市、宁波市、武汉市、成都市等5个副省级城市开展联动巡视。 大包，看一下这个新闻是不是快速清洗习家军信号，这些地方习派人马多不多！
这名网友回复，杭州成都肯定不少😂
我的回复是，首先这名网友我觉得政治的敏感度很高，你说很正确。 河北要抓倪岳峰。苗华都抓了，坐在苗华左右都晦气，陈希和倪岳峰都会抓 。等着陈希和倪岳峰抓了，再回头看这个照片，这就是世界名画，难兄难弟坐在一排。山西我不知道，内蒙古要抓时光辉，吉林我不知道，是不是在长春，浙江应该下面的杭州和宁波，安徽要抓王清宪，江西要抓尹弘，河南要抓王凯，湖北应该是抓王晓东蒋超良余党，估计在武汉，湖南除了沈晓明，就得都抓了，湖南就是朱镕基的习近平的大本营。海南我不知道，四川是不是成都，云南要抓王予波，甘肃要抓胡昌升和石谋军。山西，宁夏，新疆兵团应该胡锦涛比较多，他要抓谁，我不知道，有两种可能，一种是巡视的目的不一定是抓人，而是包庇。第二种可能某个副部级，级别太低我没有关注到。我说都是随便说的，别太在意，不可能按照我说的去抓人。按照我说的这个名单，省部级就一锅端了。比如，他说的这些副省级城市， 我都没有研究过。等李希把人抓了，我可以给挨个认真给大家研究。总的来说，你说很对，你如果对他们的派系有一个大致的了解，就知道，这个名单是杀气腾腾，带着黑名单下去的。能不能都抓了，一锅端了，那就要看他们的工作能力了。这是干垮了解放军，是要把省部级也干跨吗？这大戏演的太精彩了。这个名单不知道河北为什么排在第一。河北省长王正谱，那是李希的马仔。王正谱即便在贪腐，倪岳峰和王陆进，就要一锅端了呀。之前唐山已经被荡平了。
所以这名网友的问题，这个新闻是不是快速清洗习家军的信号，答案是，是，对，正确。
这不是信号，这已经明牌大清洗了，要打扫战场了。8月8日就要开四中全会了，4月查一个正部级很快了。正常抓一个正部级的时间线，就是要调查三五个月吧。这些地方习派的人马多不多。只有湖南省是最多的。每个省都有两三派系。没有任何一个省能够被一个派系垄断。包圆。
总的来看，这个名单，就是带着黑名单下去的。这个是一个省的名单，每个省，都有具体要查谁的名单。
我不可能把每个省委常委，副省长都看一遍。都看一遍我就可以给你把每个省的抓人黑名单，都开出来。这个名单里面没有贵州，我很吃惊。
别太认真我们就看个热闹，就可以。即便是习近平的马仔，也不可能都抓。肯定都要清洗，但是不可能都抓。真抓到共产党散架了。运气好可以退休，去人大，去政协。干多久最后也是这样的结果。对他们来说也没有什么损失。所以说他们反，不可能啊，他们都会觉得自己是可以平安那一个。
这就是那句俗语，反腐败就是隔墙扔砖头，谁被砸到谁倒霉。被抓的官员都是身上有好几buff。比如海南省委常委，海口市委书记罗增斌，他被抓不一定是要抓他人，而是为了抓级别更高的官员。这种的就是想躲都躲不了， 想跑都跑不了。要么就是得罪胡锦涛得罪张德江或者曾庆红什么的。敢去得罪胡锦涛张德江的人也少吧，那都是习近平让他们去冲锋的，他们也没办法。我看易炼红绵薄绵长叫的，也没抓他呀。
我说的派系是副局级正局级副部级正部级这四步都是同一派系的总书记或总理提拔他的。35岁正部级定律是总书记为了防止手下叛变的选择。到底省委书记这一级别，他也会有和总书记的博弈。如果一个省委书记知道习近平要垮台了，他肯定要动用他所有的社会关系去自救，保平安呀。
好的，谢谢大家。
英文翻译
Xi Jinping is handing over power. The trade war indirectly proves that China is handing over power. Who will the inspection team purge? Who is the winner of the tariff war?
Hello everyone, this netizen said, Dabao, if Xi Jinping loses power, who will lead the tough tariffs with the United States?
My reply is
Recently, China’s counterattack against Trump’s new tariffs has caused heated discussions, but due to the black box politics of the Chinese Communist Party, we have no way of knowing who is the leader. It is obviously in the power handover period. Xi Jinping’s rule faces challenges and signs of power emptiness are emerging. However, why do we believe that Hu Jintao and Wen Jiabao are definitely better than Xi Jinping? I have always believed that factional division cannot be simply defined as “reform” or “conservative”. Zhu Rongji and Xi Jinping belong to the same faction. Zhu Rongji is known for his so-called economic talents, but like Xi Jinping, he pushed the Chinese economy to collapse. These have always been Zhu Rongji’s economic team helping Xi Jinping manage the Chinese economy. The final result is the current result. When I first found out that Zhu Rongji and Xi Jinping were from the same faction, my first reaction was that if the Chinese knew this reality, would they be more pessimistic about the prospects of the Chinese economy?
From the incident in which Shein tried to move its production line abroad but was dissuaded by the authorities, it can be seen that no matter which faction is in power, it is the Communist Party, and they are all desperately trying to save jobs and the economy. It is just a fantasy to expect Hu Jintao to save China, as Hu Jintao is also a member of the Communist Party.
Trump announced a 34% tariff increase on China and canceled the tax-free policy for small packages, which directly impacted China’s export manufacturing industry. According to Bloomberg, fast fashion giant Shein planned to move its provincial production line to Vietnam and other places, but was dissuaded by the Chinese Ministry of Commerce, and even canceled the supplier’s overseas inspection trip. This happened a few days before Trump imposed tariffs, showing that China would not hesitate to use administrative means to maintain its status as the “world’s factory” and avoid the outflow of production capacity and cause an unemployment crisis. Xiyin relies on low-cost garment factories in Guangzhou’s “Xiyin Village” to target the European and American markets, but after the US’s tax-free and duty-free policy for small packages is canceled on May 2, 2025, Xiyin’s costs will soar by billions of dollars. Although Xiyin had already pushed suppliers to set up factories overseas when Trump made his statement in February, the plan was forced to shelve under government pressure.
This is not Xi Jinping’s unique strategy, but the common logic of various factions of the Communist Party. Zhu Rongji served as prime minister from 1998 to 2003. He was famous for state-owned enterprise reform and joining the WTO, but it led to workers being laid off and economic risks buried deep. After Xi Jinping took over, facing the debt and overcapacity crisis, the economic downturn intensified. The Xiyin incident shows that both of them prioritized maintaining the party’s dictatorship. The economic collapse was the result of factional consistency, not the division between reform and conservatism. Hu Jintao was in power from 2002 to 2012, relying on exports and real estate to drive growth. After the subprime mortgage crisis, he “flooded” the economy to protect it, but laid the mine for today’s crisis. Hu Jintao will take power again, and he may push Hu Chunhua to the top. He will continue the routine of maintaining employment and growth, which is essentially the same as Xi Jinping.
The emptiness during the power handover period has exacerbated uncertainty. Liu He’s son, Miao Hua and others were arrested, Shi Taifeng took over the Organization Department, and Jiang Mianheng appeared, suggesting that Xi Jinping had lost power. But this does not mean that Hu Jintao can bring about changes. Xi Yin was prevented from moving out, which highlights that the Communist Party still holds tight control over the economy during the turbulent period. The Hu-Wen era is remembered as a “harmonious society”, but Hu and Wen’s policies also serve the party. It is a misjudgment of the nature of the Communist Party to expect Hu Jintao to save the country. It’s just that Hu Jintao has been out of office for more than 10 years, and everyone has forgotten the abstract things Hu Jintao did.
Zhu Rongji and Xi Jinping belong to the same faction, but they still ruined the Chinese economy. It has proved that factional labels do not determine success or failure. No matter who leads the fight back against tariffs, the Communist Party’s original intention to survive remains unchanged. Hu Jintao puts the party and the country first, and saving the Chinese economy is pure fantasy.
On the contrary, the performance of leaders of democratic countries is completely different from the CCP’s black box politics. The video of Taiwan President Lai Ching-te’s response to Trump’s trade war is about 8 minutes long, and I can watch it to the 6th minute. No matter what the content is, at least I can listen to it. His response is very orderly, meaningful, and clear one by one.
He analyzed the impact of Trump’s 32% tariff on Taiwan, pointing out that in 2024, exports to the United States accounted for 23.4%, but 75% were sold to other countries, and 65.4% were ICT products, showing resilience. He proposed not to retaliate, but to promote “zero tariff” negotiations, increase purchases of US products, and help Taiwanese companies invest in the United States, which is clear and organized. In contrast, the CCP’s response to tariffs is mostly empty talk such as “resolute countermeasures”, with vague specific measures, and it is difficult for the outside world to guess the leader.
This difference stems from the system. Lai Ching-te needs to publicly win public support. Taiwan relies on US security guarantees, and tariffs are for money, not life. He seized this point and focused on economic adjustment and diplomacy, both maintaining relations with allies and appeasing the people. In contrast, the CCP has a hollow power transition period and opaque decision-making. For example, Xiyin was dissuaded from moving abroad, which shows the core goal of maintaining employment, but lacks systematic explanation, indicating poor decision-making. Now the new general secretary has not confirmed his appointment, and the old team has not been completely replaced. It must be mainly Xi Jinping’s team, but Xi Jinping does not hold the power, which is definitely twisted. Lai Qingde’s pragmatism and clarity reflect the necessary ability of democratic leaders to face the public, while the CCP’s vague and tough decisions under the black box politics are unknown to others. Although his film may not be perfect, it shows the sense of stability of the democratic system, which is in sharp contrast with the CCP.
Trump’s tariff policy may bring unexpected benefits to India. First, Trump imposed a 26% tariff on Indian goods, which ostensibly increased export costs, but compared with other countries, this tax rate is still relatively low and there is room for negotiation. Second, by imposing higher tariffs on China, Trump actually weakened China, India’s biggest competitor in the global market, providing favorable conditions for India’s economic strategy.
Negotiation space for tariffs brings opportunities for India
Trump’s 26% tariff on Indian goods seems to have raised trade barriers, but compared with other countries, such as China (54%) and Vietnam (46%), this rate is not high. More importantly, this policy is not set in stone, but leaves room for negotiation. Indian Commerce Minister Gojol made it clear at the India Global Forum that the current global trade turmoil is a “once-in-a-lifetime opportunity” and emphasized that India is actively negotiating a bilateral trade agreement with the United States, aiming to reach a result before the fall. Discussions between US Secretary of State Rubio and Indian Foreign Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar also showed that both sides are willing to move towards a “fair and balanced trade relationship.” In this context, India may reduce tariffs from 26% to 20% or even 15% through diplomatic efforts, thereby reducing export pressure.
India has shown a pragmatic attitude, avoiding retaliatory tariffs and choosing dialogue instead. Gojol pointed out that India sees Trump’s tariff war as an opportunity to reshape the supply chain, not a threat. This strategy can not only alleviate short-term economic shocks, but also may exchange for more favorable market access conditions through negotiations. For example, India has proposed to reduce tariffs on $23 billion of US goods (from 5-30% to zero), showing its sincerity in making concessions. If the negotiations are successful, the tariff reduction will directly enhance the competitiveness of Indian goods in the US market, especially in the fields of electronics, pharmaceuticals and textiles, which are the focus of the “Make in India” plan.
Weakening China to clear the competitive barriers for India
Trump’s imposition of tariffs of up to 54% on Chinese goods (including the previous 20% plus the new 34%) has significantly increased the cost of China’s exports to the United States, causing its market share in the United States to face compression. As India’s biggest competitor, China’s dominance in electronics, textiles and manufacturing has been weakened, which provides India with a golden opportunity to fill the gap. Gojol explicitly blamed the global trade turmoil on China’s “unfair trade” behavior after joining the WTO, which coincides with Trump’s position. This consensus provides an ideological basis for India to win US support and also suggests that India may take the opportunity to take over the supply chain overflowing from China.
Bloomberg News reported that India believes that the global supply chain restructuring brought about by the tariff war is beneficial to it. Compared with China, India’s 26% tariff seems mild, and American companies may turn to India to avoid high costs. For example, Apple has moved some production lines from China to India through Foxconn, and India’s mobile phone exports surged 44% to $20 billion in 2024. If Trump continues to increase pressure on China, India’s role as a “substitute” in manufacturing and exports will be further strengthened. Indian Commerce Minister Gojol emphasized that India is the “fastest growing large economy” and its domestic demand and labor advantages enable it to seize this opportunity.
Strategic benefits for the Indian economy
Even if the tariff remains at 26%, the impact on the Indian economy is relatively controllable. India’s exports to the United States account for only 2.2% of its GDP, far lower than Vietnam (25.1%) and other countries, indicating that it is less dependent on external demand. In addition, India’s trade surplus with the United States (US$37 billion in 2024) is much smaller than China’s (US$320 billion), which gives it certain bargaining chips in negotiations. US think tank analysis believes that India may benefit from supply chain transfer, especially in the fields of textiles, electronics and pharmaceuticals, which are highly consistent with the “Make in India” strategy. In contrast, China’s economy faces a 1.5% decline in GDP growth due to the tariff war, highlighting India’s relative competitive advantage.
As Indian Commerce Minister Gojol said, this is a “historical moment”. If India grasps it properly, it may become a winner in the trade war launched by Trump.
This netizen said that with the approval of the Party Central Committee, the fifth round of inspections of the 20th Central Committee will conduct regular inspections in Hebei Province, Shanxi Province, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, Jilin Province, Zhejiang Province, Anhui Province, Jiangxi Province, Henan Province, Hubei Province, Hunan Province, Hainan Province, Sichuan Province, Yunnan Province, Gansu Province, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, and Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps, conduct upgraded inspections in Kunming City, Yunnan Province, and conduct joint inspections in conjunction with relevant provincial party inspection agencies in Changchun City, Hangzhou City, Ningbo City, Wuhan City, Chengdu City and other five sub-provincial cities. Dabao, see if this news is a signal of quickly cleaning up Xi’s army, and how many Xi’s people are there in these places!
This netizen replied that there must be many in Hangzhou and Chengdu😂
My reply is, first of all, I think this netizen is very politically sensitive, and what you said is correct. Hebei will arrest Ni Yuefeng. Miao Hua has been arrested, and sitting on the left and right of Miao Hua is unlucky. Chen Xi and Ni Yuefeng will both be arrested. Wait until Chen Xi and Ni Yuefeng are arrested, and then look back at this photo. This is a world famous painting, brothers in distress sitting in a row. I don’t know about Shanxi, but Inner Mongolia will arrest Shi Guanghui, I don’t know if Jilin is in Changchun, Zhejiang should be in Hangzhou and Ningbo, Anhui will arrest Wang Qingxian, Jiangxi will arrest Yin Hong, Henan will arrest Wang Kai, Hubei should be arresting Wang Xiaodong and Jiang Chaoliang’s remnants, probably in Wuhan, Hunan will arrest everyone except Shen Xiaoming, Hunan is the base camp of Zhu Rongji and Xi Jinping. I don’t know about Hainan, Sichuan is Chengdu, Yunnan will arrest Wang Yubo, Gansu will arrest Hu Changsheng and Shi Moujun. Hu Jintao should be more involved in Shanxi, Ningxia, and Xinjiang Corps. I don’t know who he wants to arrest. There are two possibilities. One is that the purpose of the inspection is not necessarily to arrest people, but to shield them. The second possibility is that some vice-ministerial level person is too low for me to pay attention to. I said that I just said it casually, don’t pay too much attention to it, it is impossible to arrest people according to what I said. According to the list I said, all the provincial and ministerial levels will be wiped out. For example, I have not studied the vice-provincial cities he mentioned. When Li Xi arrests people, I can study them carefully one by one. In general, you are right. If you have a general understanding of their factions, you will know that this list is murderous and blacklisted. Whether they can be arrested and wiped out at once depends on their work ability. This is to destroy the People’s Liberation Army. Is it going to destroy the provincial and ministerial levels as well? This drama is so exciting. I don’t know why Hebei is ranked first on this list. Wang Zhengpu, the governor of Hebei Province, is Li Xi’s lackey. Even if Wang Zhengpu is corrupt, Ni Yuefeng and Wang Lujin will be wiped out at the same time. Tangshan had been razed before.
So the question of this netizen is whether this news is a signal of a quick purge of Xi’s army. The answer is yes, right, correct.
This is not a signal. It is a clear purge. The battlefield needs to be cleaned up. The Fourth Plenary Session of the Central Committee will be held on August 8. It is very fast to investigate a ministerial-level official in April. The normal timeline for arresting a ministerial-level official is to investigate for three to five months. There are not many Xi’s factions in these places. Only Hunan Province has the most. Each province has two or three factions. No province can be monopolized by one faction. It is all taken care of.
In general, this list is sent with a blacklist. This is a list of a province, and each province has a specific list of people to be investigated.
I can’t look at every member of the Standing Committee of the Provincial Party Committee and the vice governor. If I look at them all, I can give you the arrest blacklist of each province. I am surprised that Guizhou is not on this list.
Don’t take it too seriously, just watch the fun. Even Xi Jinping’s lackeys cannot be arrested. They must be purged, but it is impossible to arrest all of them. If they are really caught, the Communist Party will fall apart. If they are lucky, they can retire and go to the National People’s Congress or the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference. No matter how long they work, the result will be the same. There is no loss for them. So it is impossible for them to oppose corruption. They all think that they can be safe.
This is the saying that anti-corruption is like throwing bricks over the wall. Whoever is hit is unlucky. The officials who are arrested have several buffs on them. For example, Luo Zengbin, member of the Standing Committee of the Hainan Provincial Party Committee and Secretary of the Haikou Municipal Party Committee, was arrested not necessarily to arrest others, but to arrest officials of higher levels. Such people can’t hide or run. Either they offend Hu Jintao, Zhang Dejiang or Zeng Qinghong. There are not many people who dare to offend Hu Jintao and Zhang Dejiang. They are all asked by Xi Jinping to charge, and they can’t do anything. I think Yi Lianhong’s cry is long and thin, but he was not arrested.
The faction I’m talking about is the deputy bureau level, the bureau level, the deputy minister level, and the minister level. These four steps are promoted by the general secretary or prime minister of the same faction. The 35-year-old ministerial level rule is the choice of the general secretary to prevent his subordinates from rebelling. After all, at the level of provincial party secretary, he will also have a game with the general secretary. If a provincial party secretary knows that Xi Jinping is going to fall, he will definitely use all his social connections to save himself and keep safe.
Okay, thank you everyone.
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