胡锦涛系统性清洗习近平势力。李干杰赵晓哲被调查。毛周斗的百年延续
胡锦涛系统性清洗习近平势力。李干杰赵晓哲被调查。毛周斗的百年延续
大家好！欢迎收看今天的节目！最近，海外社交平台上关于中共高层的传闻可是炸开了锅！有人说，中共中央政治局委员、中央统战部部长李干杰被查了，还有军委科委主任赵晓哲缺席了一场重要会议，引发了不少猜测。
先来说说李干杰的传闻。2025年4月28日，网上流传出一条消息，说李干杰被调查了，中共中央纪委和国家监委已经对他展开调查。李干杰可是个大人物，他是政治局委员、中央书记处书记、中央统战部部长，之前还当过中组部部长，算是习近平的人事管家，负责干部提拔的大事儿。
消息里还提到一段很像官方通报的文字，说“李干杰涉嫌有关问题，正在接受调查”。但有分析指出，这话不太像中共官方的说法，中共通报一般会说“涉嫌严重违纪违法”，而不是“涉嫌有关问题”。
但是就像这名网友说的，
當年徐才厚兩隻腳邁進秦城了，都穿著上將軍服出來打卡。從此以後，打卡不再是平安的證據，甚至可以是出事的十錘😂😂😂😂
中共官网也没有相关通报，所以这很可能是个谣言。不过，这个谣言可能是个“遥遥领先的预言”，因为李干杰最近的处境确实不太妙。
2025年4月1日，李干杰刚从中组部部长调到统战部部长，而原统战部部长石泰峰调去中组部，这种“互换职位”在中共历史上可是头一回！有分析认为，这种调动往往是“查人”的前兆，就像当年胡锦涛的大秘令计划，从中办主任调到统战部部长后没多久就出事了。李干杰的调动，很可能是在为调查他铺路。胡八八当年可是把令计划当干儿子一样宠着。胡锦涛走到哪儿都带着令计划。现在李干杰也送到统战部，很可能也要和令计划一样被抓。
李干杰的麻烦可能跟最近的几个落马官员有关。先来看2025年4月18日，中共官方通报，中组部原副部长张建春因受贿被追究刑事责任。张建春在中组部工作了几十年，负责干部提拔，如果深挖，肯定会牵出一堆省部级官员。而李干杰作为前中组部部长，干部提拔都得过他这一关，很难不被牵连。张建春真正的后台是彭丽媛，但是让李干杰把锅背上，也不好说。
再看2025年4月12日，山西省长金湘军落马，传闻他和李干杰有不小的交集。据说金湘军的妻子和李干杰的妻子合伙“卖官鬻爵”，而且金湘军还试图通过李干杰谋求更高的职位，比如浙江或内蒙古的省委书记，但都没成功。金湘军被抓后，有人爆料李干杰和他的家人也在4月10日被带走配合调查。
还有一个细节，李干杰在中组部的时候，提拔了不少人，但这些人接连出事，比如前外交部长秦刚。有人说，习近平可能在“卸磨杀驴”，把干部提拔的责任推给李干杰，让他当替罪羊。但真实的情况是反习派在搞清洗，把李干杰调到次要的统战部，就是为了拿他开刀。
除了李干杰，军委科委主任赵晓哲的动态也让人关注。2025年4月25日，习近平主持了一场政治局集体学习会议，主题是人工智能发展和监管。这次会议规格很高，参加的都是部门一把手，比如教育部部长怀进鹏、工信部部长李乐成，还有军方的几位大佬，像军委副主席张又侠、军委装备发展部部长许学强上将。
按理说，这种会议应该由军委科委主任赵晓哲出席，因为人工智能正是他管的领域。赵晓哲还是现任中央委员，级别很高。但这次会议，赵晓哲却缺席了，派了副手徐为进少将代为出席。央视报道没说明赵晓哲缺席的原因，这就让人怀疑：他是不是出事了？
更值得注意的是，徐为进是空军出身，2024年12月3日刚当上军委科委副主任。有人分析，徐为进可能不是习近平的嫡系，因为空军更多受前军委副主席许其亮控制，而许其亮是胡锦涛提拔的。如果赵晓哲真出事，派一个非习派的人来代替他，说明习包子已经没有军权了。
咱们再来看看赵晓哲的背景。赵晓哲是大连理工大学系统工程博士，长期在海军大连舰艇学院当教授，2018年升任军委科委副主任，2021年当上主任。他能升到中央委员，说明习近平很器重他。但有分析认为，赵晓哲的升迁可能走的是军委政治部主任苗华的门路。
苗华已经落马，传闻他交代了上千名军官，包括国防部长董军、海军司令等人。苗华和赵晓哲都在大连舰艇学院有交集，董军也是那出来的。如果苗华的案子牵出赵晓哲，一点都不意外。
另外，海军参谋长李汉军也可能落马了。2025年2月，有海外消息说李汉军被带走调查。李汉军也是大连舰艇学院毕业的，曾任副院长，而赵晓哲当时是教授，两人关系密切。如果李汉军落马，牵出赵晓哲也很合理。
总结一下，李干杰和赵晓哲的传闻，可能是中共内部权力斗争的信号。李干杰被查的传闻虽然还没证实，但他从中组部调到统战部，确实有被调查的迹象，可能跟金湘军、张建春等人的案子有关。赵晓哲缺席重要会议，又有苗华、李汉军这些落马官员的牵连，处境也很不妙。这些事件背后，就是胡锦涛在系统性的清洗习近平的军队和地方的势力。
我看这名网友说的不错所以给大家分享一下。
邓小平胡锦涛派系和胡耀邦江泽民派系根子上都是毛泽东派系，只不过文革平反后邓小平自己拉了一伙人独立了出来，俩派都算是毛派的温和派，激进派是四人帮已经被打倒为毛的文革错误背锅。而陈云习近平派系根子上就是周恩来派系。毛周从1920年代一直斗到死，最后等于是周死之前得病了毛连止痛药都不准用，活活把周疼死。这三大派或者说俩大派是不死不休的关系。所以这20年来一直抹黑江胡斗的都是习派的大外宣。习近平把李克强弄死，一个是他们当代人的仇，一个就算做给周恩来报仇。并且周恩来派系直到习近平上位才当上真正的全中国一把手，怎么能不疯狂呢，憋了将近100年。
这段话简单说就是大道至简。把中共的历史简化成三个字，就是毛周斗。当然历史肯定复杂没有那么简单。但是把中共的历史简化成这三个字，说的过去。
这名网友说，邓小平胡锦涛派系和胡耀邦江泽民派系根子上都是毛泽东派系，这个也没错，邓小平当年，这个最出名的稻上飞的照片，1958年10月9日，邓小平是什么身份，是中共中央总书记。当时的总书记和现在的不一样。当时的有党主席。总书记就相当于秘书长。也就是说，某种程度，邓小平就是毛泽东的大秘。邓小平也的确是反右小组长，毛左老想把锅都怪邓小平的头上。
邓小平1958年六号还是几号人物，就相当于现在蔡奇，相当于让蔡奇给习近平背锅。蔡奇做得了主吗？那不是习近平亲自指挥亲自部署的吗？同样的道理邓小平1958年也做不了主，肯定是毛泽东说了算。七千人大会毛泽东被赶到二线那是1962年。
激进派是四人帮已经被打倒为毛的文革错误背锅。对啊，江青就是一个政治局委员，没有毛泽东，江青有什么权力，毛泽东一死，江青立马被抓了。毛周从1920年代一直斗到死。这个也对啊，毛泽东是中共的创始人，周恩来没有出席一大，中共第一次代表大会。但是为了牵强附会，为了吹捧周恩来，把周恩来在欧洲成立的党小组，也说成中共的创始人。不管怎么说，1920年毛泽东虽然参加中共一大，但是毛泽东并不在中共的核心之中。毛泽东的影响力更多在地方，比如湖南的农民运动。相反呢，周恩来天天搞特科，搞特务，搞红色恐怖。手段特别残忍，说白了就是打家劫舍的土匪。
到了1930年代，遵义会议之前，周恩来已经是“三人团”成员，妥妥的二把手。而毛泽东呢？通过1935年的遵义会议才真正上位，成了中共的核心。从那以后，毛和周的斗争就没停过。毛喜欢搞激进的阶级斗争，比如土地革命、文革；而周更稳健，擅长统战和组织管理。
1976年周恩来病重的时候，毛连止痛药都不准用，活活把周疼死。这件事情我们看时间线的事实就可以了。1976年1月，周恩来死的，1976年9月，毛泽东死的。周恩来先死，毛泽东后死这是一个事实。1997年2月，邓小平死了。2008年8月，华国锋死了。邓小平死了之后，华国锋又活了11年半，华国锋不管怎么死的，都不能说成邓小平弄死的吧。
这三大派或者说俩大派是不死不休的关系。这也是事实，中共对外是残酷斗争，对内也是残酷斗争。斯大林的大清洗，波尔布特的你有点极端。1930年代的AB团清洗，1940年代的延安整风，还有文革，都是党内斗得你死我活，这是共产主义的传统艺能。就是刀刃向内，比对外还狠呢，窝里横。一直就这样的，所有的共产党都是这样的。所以说他们不死不休也没说错。
这20年来一直抹黑江胡斗的都是习派的大外宣。这也是很简单的事实，江胡斗肯定斗，但是没有掀桌子呀，江泽民不是已经把军委主席，总书记，国家主席全都交给胡锦涛了吗？这还要什么自行车呢？斗归斗，没有撕破脸啊。
2013年10月16日，季建业被抓。
2012年11月15日，习近平当上总书记。
季建业大家都说是江泽民钦点的。习近平上台11个月就把季建业抓了。习近平是江泽民提拔的，到底是怎么逻辑自洽的。习近平如果真的是江泽民提拔的，那么翻脸也要有一个过程吧，上台11个月，翻脸。稳准狠就直接抓江泽民的人。习近平一台上就出抓江泽民的人啊，周永康，徐才厚，郭伯雄。
周恩来派系直到习近平上位才当上真正的全中国一把手，怎么能不疯狂呢，憋了将近100年。周恩来习近平这个派系一直就没有真正倒台，一直都是二手手，周恩来陈云李鹏朱镕基，一直到习近平。终于当上了一把手，当然不愿意下去了。
总结一下，“毛周斗”确实是中共历史的一个简化框架，虽然历史很复杂，但用这三个字，能抓住派系斗争的主线。从毛周斗，到毛派和周陈派的百年博弈，再到习近平上台后“周陈派”的全面崛起，中共的派系斗争真的是不死不休。
当然模型过于简化，好多事情也不太好解释。
英文翻译
Hu Jintao systematically purged Xi Jinping’s forces. Li Ganjie and Zhao Xiaozhe were investigated. The century-long continuation of the Mao-Zhou struggle
Hello everyone! Welcome to today’s program! Recently, rumors about the top leaders of the Chinese Communist Party on overseas social platforms have exploded! Some people say that Li Ganjie, a member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Minister of the Central United Front Work Department, has been investigated, and Zhao Xiaozhe, Director of the Science and Technology Commission of the Military Commission, was absent from an important meeting, which has caused a lot of speculation.
Let’s talk about the rumors about Li Ganjie first. On April 28, 2025, a message circulated on the Internet saying that Li Ganjie was investigated and the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection and the National Supervisory Commission had launched an investigation against him. Li Ganjie is a big shot. He is a member of the Political Bureau, Secretary of the Central Secretariat, and Minister of the Central United Front Work Department. He has also served as Minister of the Organization Department of the CPC Central Committee. He is considered Xi Jinping’s personnel manager and is responsible for the promotion of cadres.
The message also mentioned a text that looks like an official notice, saying that “Li Ganjie is suspected of relevant issues and is under investigation.” However, some analysts pointed out that this statement is not very similar to the official statement of the Chinese Communist Party. The Chinese Communist Party’s announcement generally says “suspected of serious violations of discipline and law” rather than “suspected of relevant issues.”
But as this netizen said,
When Xu Caihou stepped into Qincheng, he came out to punch in wearing a general’s uniform. From then on, punching in is no longer evidence of safety, and it can even be a sign of trouble😂😂😂😂
There is no relevant announcement on the official website of the Chinese Communist Party, so this is likely to be a rumor. However, this rumor may be a “far-ahead prophecy” because Li Ganjie’s recent situation is indeed not very good.
On April 1, 2025, Li Ganjie was just transferred from the Minister of the Organization Department to the Minister of the United Front Work Department, and the former Minister of the United Front Work Department Shi Taifeng was transferred to the Organization Department. This kind of “exchange of positions” is the first time in the history of the Chinese Communist Party! Some analysts believe that such transfers are often a precursor to “investigating people”, just like Ling Jihua, Hu Jintao’s chief secretary, got into trouble soon after he was transferred from the director of the General Office of the CPC Central Committee to the Minister of the United Front Work Department. Li Ganjie’s transfer is likely to pave the way for investigating him. Hu Baba spoiled Ling Jihua like his godson. Hu Jintao took Ling Jihua with him wherever he went. Now Li Ganjie has also been sent to the United Front Work Department, and he is likely to be arrested like Ling Jihua.
Li Ganjie’s troubles may be related to several officials who have been dismissed recently. Let’s first look at the official announcement of the Communist Party of China on April 18, 2025, that Zhang Jianchun, former deputy minister of the Organization Department of the CPC Central Committee, was held criminally responsible for taking bribes. Zhang Jianchun has worked in the Organization Department of the CPC Central Committee for decades and is responsible for the promotion of cadres. If he digs deeper, he will definitely bring out a bunch of provincial and ministerial officials. As the former Minister of the Organization Department of the CPC Central Committee, Li Ganjie has to pass this level for the promotion of cadres, and it is difficult not to be implicated. Zhang Jianchun’s real backer is Peng Liyuan, but it is not easy to let Li Ganjie take the blame.
On April 12, 2025, Shanxi Governor Jin Xiangjun was dismissed. It is rumored that he and Li Ganjie had a lot of intersections. It is said that Jin Xiangjun’s wife and Li Ganjie’s wife colluded to “sell official positions and titles”, and Jin Xiangjun also tried to seek a higher position through Li Ganjie, such as the provincial party secretary of Zhejiang or Inner Mongolia, but failed. After Jin Xiangjun was arrested, someone broke the news that Li Ganjie and his family were also taken away on April 10 to cooperate with the investigation.
There is another detail. When Li Ganjie was in the Organization Department of the Central Committee, he promoted many people, but these people got into trouble one after another, such as former Foreign Minister Qin Gang. Some people say that Xi Jinping may be “killing the donkey after it has done its job” and putting the responsibility for the promotion of cadres on Li Ganjie, making him a scapegoat. But the real situation is that the anti-Xi faction is carrying out a purge, and Li Ganjie was transferred to the secondary United Front Work Department just to use him as a knife.
In addition to Li Ganjie, the dynamics of Zhao Xiaozhe, director of the Science and Technology Commission of the Military Commission, are also of concern. On April 25, 2025, Xi Jinping presided over a Politburo collective study session on the development and regulation of artificial intelligence. This meeting was of high standard, and the participants were all department heads, such as Minister of Education Huai Jinpeng, Minister of Industry and Information Technology Li Lecheng, and several military leaders, such as Vice Chairman of the Military Commission Zhang Youxia and General Xu Xueqiang, Minister of Equipment Development of the Military Commission.
Logically, this kind of meeting should be attended by Zhao Xiaozhe, Director of the Science and Technology Commission of the Military Commission, because artificial intelligence is the field he is in charge of. Zhao Xiaozhe is also a current member of the Central Committee and has a high level. But Zhao Xiaozhe was absent from this meeting and sent his deputy, Major General Xu Weijin, to attend on his behalf. The CCTV report did not explain the reason for Zhao Xiaozhe’s absence, which makes people wonder: Did he have an accident?
More noteworthy is that Xu Weijin is from the Air Force and just became the Deputy Director of the Science and Technology Commission of the Military Commission on December 3, 2024. Some people analyzed that Xu Weijin may not be Xi Jinping’s direct line, because the Air Force is more controlled by former Vice Chairman of the Military Commission Xu Qiliang, who was promoted by Hu Jintao. If Zhao Xiaozhe really gets into trouble, sending someone who is not from the Xi faction to replace him means that Xi Baozi no longer has military power.
Let’s take a look at Zhao Xiaozhe’s background. Zhao Xiaozhe is a doctor of systems engineering at Dalian University of Technology. He has been a professor at the Dalian Naval Academy for a long time. In 2018, he was promoted to deputy director of the Science and Technology Commission of the Military Commission and became director in 2021. His promotion to a member of the Central Committee shows that Xi Jinping values him very much. However, some analysts believe that Zhao Xiaozhe’s promotion may have been through the door of Miao Hua, director of the Political Department of the Military Commission.
Miao Hua has been dismissed. It is rumored that he confessed thousands of officers, including Defense Minister Dong Jun and Navy Commander. Miao Hua and Zhao Xiaozhe both have intersections at the Dalian Naval Academy, and Dong Jun also came from there. If Miao Hua’s case leads to Zhao Xiaozhe, it is not surprising at all.
In addition, Navy Chief of Staff Li Hanjun may also be dismissed. In February 2025, there was overseas news that Li Hanjun was taken away for investigation. Li Hanjun also graduated from Dalian Naval Academy and served as vice president. Zhao Xiaozhe was a professor at the time and they had a close relationship. If Li Hanjun was arrested, it would be reasonable to implicate Zhao Xiaozhe.
To sum up, the rumors about Li Ganjie and Zhao Xiaozhe may be a signal of power struggle within the CCP. Although the rumors about Li Ganjie being investigated have not been confirmed, he was transferred from the Organization Department to the United Front Work Department, and there are indeed signs of being investigated, which may be related to the cases of Jin Xiangjun, Zhang Jianchun and others. Zhao Xiaozhe was absent from important meetings and was implicated by the arrested officials Miao Hua and Li Hanjun, so his situation was not good. Behind these events, Hu Jintao was systematically cleaning up Xi Jinping’s military and local forces.
I think what this netizen said is good, so I share it with you.
Deng Xiaoping and Hu Jintao’s faction and Hu Yaobang and Jiang Zemin’s faction are all Mao Zedong’s faction at root, but after the Cultural Revolution was rehabilitated, Deng Xiaoping pulled a group of people to become independent. Both factions are considered moderate Maoists, and the radical faction is that the Gang of Four had been overthrown and took the blame for Mao’s Cultural Revolution mistakes. Chen Yun and Xi Jinping’s faction is actually Zhou Enlai’s faction. Mao and Zhou fought each other from the 1920s to death. In the end, Zhou got sick before he died and Mao didn’t even allow him to use painkillers, which caused Zhou to die of pain. These three factions or two major factions are in a relationship of life and death. Therefore, the propaganda of the Xi faction has been smearing the struggle between Jiang and Hu for the past 20 years. Xi Jinping killed Li Keqiang, one is the hatred of their contemporaries, and the other is revenge for Zhou Enlai. And Zhou Enlai’s faction didn’t become the real leader of China until Xi Jinping came to power. How could it not be crazy? They have been holding back for nearly 100 years.
This passage is simply the truth. Simplifying the history of the Communist Party of China into three words is the struggle between Mao and Zhou. Of course, history is definitely complicated and not that simple. But it is reasonable to simplify the history of the Communist Party of China into these three words.
This netizen said that the Deng Xiaoping and Hu Jintao factions and the Hu Yaobang and Jiang Zemin factions are all Mao Zedong factions at their roots, which is not wrong. Deng Xiaoping’s most famous photo of flying on the rice was taken on October 9, 1958. What was Deng Xiaoping’s identity? He was the General Secretary of the Communist Party of China. The General Secretary at that time was different from the current one. At that time, there was a party chairman. The General Secretary was equivalent to the Secretary General. In other words, to a certain extent, Deng Xiaoping was Mao Zedong’s chief secretary. Deng Xiaoping was indeed the leader of the Anti-Rightist Group, and the Maoists always wanted to blame Deng Xiaoping.
Deng Xiaoping was the No. 6 or No. 1 figure in 1958, which was equivalent to Cai Qi now, which was equivalent to letting Cai Qi take the blame for Xi Jinping. Can Cai Qi make the decision? Wasn’t it Xi Jinping who personally commanded and deployed it? By the same token, Deng Xiaoping couldn’t make the decision in 1958, and it must be Mao Zedong who had the final say. Mao Zedong was driven to the second line at the 7,000-person meeting in 1962.
The radicals are the Gang of Four who have been overthrown and took the blame for Mao’s mistakes in the Cultural Revolution. Yes, Jiang Qing was just a member of the Politburo. Without Mao Zedong, Jiang Qing had no power. As soon as Mao Zedong died, Jiang Qing was immediately arrested. Mao and Zhou fought each other from the 1920s to their death. This is also true. Mao Zedong is the founder of the Communist Party of China. Zhou Enlai did not attend the First Congress of the Communist Party of China. But in order to make a far-fetched connection and to flatter Zhou Enlai, the party group established by Zhou Enlai in Europe was also said to be the founder of the Communist Party of China. In any case, although Mao Zedong attended the First Congress of the Communist Party of China in 1920, Mao Zedong was not in the core of the Communist Party of China. Mao Zedong’s influence was more in the local areas, such as the peasant movement in Hunan. On the contrary, Zhou Enlai was engaged in special operations, spies, and red terror every day. The means were particularly cruel. To put it bluntly, he was a bandit who robbed and looted.
By the 1930s, before the Zunyi Conference, Zhou Enlai was already a member of the “Three-Man Group” and the second in command. And what about Mao Zedong? It was only through the Zunyi Conference in 1935 that he really came to power and became the core of the Communist Party of China. Since then, the struggle between Mao and Zhou has never stopped. Mao liked to engage in radical class struggles, such as the Land Revolution and the Cultural Revolution; while Zhou was more stable and good at united front and organizational management.
When Zhou Enlai was seriously ill in 1976, Mao did not even allow him to use painkillers, and Zhou died of pain. We can just look at the facts of the timeline for this matter. Zhou Enlai died in January 1976, and Mao Zedong died in September 1976. It is a fact that Zhou Enlai died first and Mao Zedong died later. In February 1997, Deng Xiaoping died. In August 2008, Hua Guofeng died. After Deng Xiaoping died, Hua Guofeng lived for another 11 and a half years. No matter how Hua Guofeng died, it cannot be said that Deng Xiaoping killed him.
These three factions or two major factions are in a relationship of life and death. This is also a fact. The Communist Party of China is a cruel struggle both externally and internally. Stalin’s Great Purge, Pol Pot’s was a bit extreme. The AB Group Purge in the 1930s, the Yan’an Rectification Movement in the 1940s, and the Cultural Revolution were all life-and-death struggles within the party. This is the traditional art of communism. It is to turn the blade inward, and be more ruthless than to attack the outside world. It is bullying in the nest. It has always been like this, and all communist parties are like this. So it is not wrong to say that they will fight to the death.
In the past 20 years, it has been the Xi faction’s big foreign propaganda that has been smearing Jiang and Hu. This is also a very simple fact. Jiang and Hu definitely fought, but they did not overturn the table. Didn’t Jiang Zemin hand over the chairmanship of the Military Commission, the general secretary, and the president to Hu Jintao? What else does he need? Fighting is fighting, but there is no tearing of the face.
On October 16, 2013, Ji Jianye was arrested.
On November 15, 2012, Xi Jinping became the general secretary.
Everyone said that Ji Jianye was chosen by Jiang Zemin. Xi Jinping arrested Ji Jianye 11 months after taking office. Xi Jinping was promoted by Jiang Zemin. How can it be logically self-consistent? If Xi Jinping was really promoted by Jiang Zemin, then it would take some time for him to turn against Jiang Zemin. He turned against Jiang Zemin 11 months after taking office. If he was steady, accurate and ruthless, he would directly arrest Jiang Zemin’s people. As soon as Xi Jinping took office, he arrested Jiang Zemin’s people, Zhou Yongkang, Xu Caihou, and Guo Boxiong.
Zhou Enlai’s faction did not become the real top leader of China until Xi Jinping took office. How could it not be crazy? They had been holding back for nearly 100 years. Zhou Enlai and Xi Jinping’s faction has never really fallen. It has always been the second-hand, Zhou Enlai, Chen Yun, Li Peng, Zhu Rongji, and finally Xi Jinping. Finally, he became the top leader, so of course he didn’t want to step down.
In summary, the “Mao-Zhou struggle” is indeed a simplified framework of the history of the Communist Party of China. Although history is very complicated, these three words can grasp the main line of factional struggle. From the Mao-Zhou struggle, to the century-long game between the Maoists and the Zhou-Chen faction, to the comprehensive rise of the “Zhou-Chen faction” after Xi Jinping came to power, the factional struggle of the Communist Party of China is really endless.
Of course, the model is too simplified and many things are hard to explain.
END