胡春华代理总书记，将仿效苏林大清洗，级别是丁薛祥+王小洪+应勇+何立峰，苏林为何大清洗？
胡春华代理总书记，将仿效苏林大清洗，级别是丁薛祥+王小洪+应勇+何立峰，苏林为何大清洗？
大家好，
最早习近平下台的标志性事件，确凿的证据就是2024年8月30日，沙利文和张又侠在中国人民解放军总部举行的会晤，这是沙利文为期三天北京之行的最后一天。天天听床听床的，一般人是没有内幕消息的，只能编个故事。但是沙利文有什么听不着，难道美国没有窃听器吗？
这名网友抬杠说，
美国在中国有多少间谍和线人，还需要越南提供情报？
我的回复是，你可能不太懂情报，美国的长项是信号情报。像是苏林这种，属于人力情报，人家越共总书记亲自跑到北京去听床的。这能一样吗？
所以我觉得有必要，讲一下越共总书记访华之后展开的大清洗的情况。
首先越共大清洗的力度，很可能是胡春华要开展大清洗的预演，剧本都已经写好了。越共总书记苏林已经预演一遍。
第二越共大清洗的诱因和中共政权的变化密切相关。
第三越共和中共关系。以前完全是同志+兄弟，共产主义没有祖国，共产党宣传扉页写的是全世界无产者联合起来。毛泽东为了支援越南打美国，随手就把白龙尾岛就送给越南，为了实现共产主义，领土算个屁呀。之后越南和中国打了一架，中国在邓小平的统治下也把与共产主义国家的关系转型为普通的外交关系，国与国的关系。但是并不等于，中共和越共之间就没有关系，或者特殊关系，中共有个中联部，越共有个对外部。都是共产党，都是一个妈生的。一个模子刻出来的，架构都是一样的。
苏林2024年8月18日正式当选越共总书记，2024年8月26日至28日访华，回国后启动大清洗。
阮和平2016年起担任最高法院院长，2024年8月24日被免职，调任越南第一副总理。
2024年8月26日，越共中央书记处书记，最高检察院检察长黎明智接替阮和平，担任越南最高人民法院院长。而黎明智空缺的最高检察院检察长则由阮辉进接替。
陈流光2023年起担任副总理，2024年8月21日被免职，从副总理降职为经济部长。
最高法院院长阮和平接替陈流光担任常务副总理，相当于丁薛祥。
最高法院院长，中国的就是张军，张军大家都不熟悉，我们可以用王小洪当作平替。
我们把越共大清洗的官员，都给换成中国对应的官员，就知道越共大清洗的力度。就是两个共产党在互相抄作业。越南发生的事情，马上就会在中国也发生。
越南负责金融事务副总理黎明慨2021年起担任副总理，2024年8月26日被免职，因为涉及大宁项目违规被越南国会免职，同时受到越共中央纪律处分。接替者是胡德福。胡德福原为财政部长，2024年8月24日被任命为副总理。
这个简单说就是越南版何立峰。免职也是以反腐败为理由。跟中国同样的配方，同样的味道。都是共产主义国家，哪个官员不腐败呢。都是借口，反腐败只不过政治斗争工具而已。
然后是越南的国家主席，越南国家主席是越共的二号人物，武文赏2023年3月2日起担任越南国家主席，被视为越共中央前任總書記阮富仲的接班人選。但是阮富仲临死之前把武文赏拿下，换上苏林接班。这肯定也是宫斗大戏啊。
2024年3月20日，武文赏因涉嫌违反党规，越共中央委員會接受他辭去國家主席、政治局委員以及中央委員等職務。2024年11月，越共中央政治局确认武文賞违反党纪党规，但因其患病，并未给予处分。
苏林是以越南国家主席，越共二号人物的身份，在越共总书记阮富仲死后，接班。这个在中国找个平替就是丁薛祥或者陈吉宁，本来是习近平的备胎。在接班前夜 ，被换下。
苏林2024年8月当选越共总书记后，亲自兼任越南国家主席至2024年10月21日，随后辞去国家主席职务。梁强为越南人民军上将，2024年10月21日被选为国家主席，就是苏林选了一个自己的亲信当二把手。
越南国家主席去机场送习近平的时候，其实担任国家主席没多久，才半年。还整出一个假习明泽。习明泽本来是美国人，都混到越南去了。这整活整的。
越南四柱，四大支柱，是总书记，国家主席，总理，国会主席。其实他们的排名肯定不是以国家主席来排名的，而中共一样都是党国，是以党内的排名来作为排名的。
其实我们简单看一下越共年龄就知道他们的架构了。苏林1957年，梁强1957年，范明正1958年，也就是说越共一把手和二把手，同岁，三把手甚至还大一岁。也就是说苏林肯定不会让梁强或者范明正接班的，只是和自己搭档，还要防备他们争夺大权。接班团队肯定是60后，甚至是70后。
越南国会主席陈青敏1962年，越共书记处常务书记陈锦秀1961年，常务副总理阮和平1958年，副总理胡德福1963年，副总理兼任外交部长裴青山1962年，国家副主席武氏映春1970年，这个很年轻55岁，已经担任国家副主席了。
如果比照越南，将会是王小洪（公安部长）、应勇（最高检检察长）、何立峰（副总理）、丁薛祥（政治局常委兼副总理）四人被同时免职，王小洪掌控公安系统，是习近平“刀把子”的核心人物；应勇掌控司法系统，直接影响反腐和司法决策；何立峰负责经济事务，是宏观经济政策的执行者，丁薛祥是政治局常委，是最高决策层的核心人物。意味着习近平对公安、司法和经济领域的控制被彻底打破，等同于核心权力结构的崩塌。
我们对比常规的清洗模式：陈刚2024年12月担任广西壮族自治区党委书记，广西自治区主席蓝天立2025年5月被抓，间隔约5个月，符合“上任半年左右开始大清洗”的规律。这表明新任领导通常需要时间摸清地方权力网，再通过反腐清洗异己。
苏林大清洗明显是异常
苏林在2024年8月3日正式当选越共总书记，仅仅18天后，2024年8月19日至20日访华，8月21日回国后立即启动大清洗，间隔仅3天。这种速度远远超出常规，时间紧迫，从回国到清洗启动仅仅3天，表明苏林可能在访华期间获得重大信息，促使苏林迅速行动。常规清洗需要数月的时间准备，比如调查、布局，而苏林的行动几乎是“即刻反应”。
对象敏感：清洗直接针对司法和经济领域的高官，涉及“刀把子”和经济命脉，显示苏林对潜在威胁的高度警惕。
陈刚上任后5个月才清洗蓝天立，符合常规权力巩固节奏：新官上任需要摸底、联合盟友、收集证据，再通过反腐清除对手。苏林的快速行动打破了这一模式，表明苏林受到外部刺激，迫使他提前动手。
苏林访华期间可能获悉习近平权力弱化的信息，刺激其回国后立即大清洗。苏林2024年8月19日至20日访华，期间与习近平、王沪宁会面，胡春华也在场。习近平在会面时声音“愤懑与恐慌”，在提到“两个执政的共产党”时咬牙切齿，影片中2分44秒至50秒倒吸冷气，显示其心理压力。有网友说，影片剪辑穿帮的情况，可能是后期配音。习近平被迫配合配音，可能不情不愿。
这名网友说，
就是这段大包重新审查的影片，很明显是拼凑剪辑的，近镜头包子讲话时旁边空无一人，与远镜头中的邻座距离不一致，可见是事后补的。讲话语调明显是读稿，节奏还比平时读稿都慢，显得不情不愿。还有一个镜头，苏林的右手是断开的。
苏林与王沪宁会面时，胡春华在座，苏林“兴致明显很高”，而见习近平时“铁青着脸”，可能暗示苏林获悉胡春华将接替习近平的信息。作为共产主义国家，中越之间可能存在“不可隐瞒实情”的默契，胡春华的出现和苏林的态度变化支持这一推测。2024年7月19日阮富仲去世，中国仅以中共中央名义发唁电，习近平等高层未亲自发唁电，造成重大外交失误。
习近平虽然补救，但签字与2016年吊唁古巴时差异明显，可能使用替身。具体情况我们也不知道。美国国家安全顾问沙利文点名要见张又侠，询问中国核按钮归属，显示美国已获悉习近平下台，沙利文的情报可能来自苏林。
苏林回国后连开6天大会，撤换包括最高法院院长、检察长和副总理在内的多名高官，并将信息传递给沙利文，表明苏林对国内权力巩固和国际影响的关注。
很简单，苏林访华回国后，突然要大清洗，总要征求，自己的盟友梁强，范明正的同意吧？梁强和范明正，总要问一下原因，不然他们会不会决定的苏林疯了呢？为什么要这么迫不及待的大清洗呢。
此外，2024年11月，中央军委副主席张又侠访问越南，受到越方超规格接待，越南国家主席梁强亲自接见，规格超出常规外交礼遇。梁强是越共的二号人物，就相当于副总书记，如果有这个职位的话。
2024年10月12日，中国国务院总理李强访问越南，与苏林会晤并出席中越合作协议签署仪式，越方安排了超规格的国宾级欢迎仪式，越南总理范明正全程陪同，显示对李强的格外重视。这些超规格接待可能反映越南对中方高层权力更迭的敏感反应，进一步佐证苏林访华时可能已获悉习近平即将下台的信息，促使苏林迅速大清洗以巩固自身权力。
我们总结一下时间线，
2024年8月3日，苏林担任越共总书记。
2024年8月19日至20日，苏林访华，见胡春华。
2024年8月21日，大清洗刀把子+经济副总理。
2024年8月30日，沙利文见张又侠。
2024年10月12日，李强访越，高规格接待。
2024年11月，张又侠访越，高规格接待。
这些都是客观事实，那么发生这么多事情，背后真的原因是什么？那只能推测是习近平下台了。
好的，谢谢大家。
英文翻译
Hu Chunhua, acting general secretary, will follow the example of Su Lin’s purge, with the level of Ding Xuexiang + Wang Xiaohong + Ying Yong + He Lifeng. Why did Su Lin purge?
Hello everyone,
The earliest landmark event of Xi Jinping’s resignation, the conclusive evidence is the meeting between Sullivan and Zhang Youxia at the headquarters of the People’s Liberation Army of China on August 30, 2024. This was the last day of Sullivan’s three-day trip to Beijing. People who listen to the bed every day, ordinary people don’t have inside information, so they can only make up a story. But what can’t Sullivan hear? Doesn’t the United States have eavesdropping devices?
This netizen said,
How many spies and informants does the United States have in China, and does it need Vietnam to provide intelligence?
My reply is that you may not understand intelligence very well. The United States’ strength is signal intelligence. For example, Su Lin is human intelligence, and the General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam personally went to Beijing to listen to the bed. Can this be the same?
So I think it is necessary to talk about the purge that took place after the General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam visited China.
First of all, the intensity of the Vietnamese Communist Party’s purge is likely to be a rehearsal for Hu Chunhua’s purge. The script has been written. Vietnamese Communist Party General Secretary To Lin has already rehearsed it.
Second, the cause of the Vietnamese Communist Party’s purge is closely related to the changes in the Chinese Communist regime.
Third, the relationship between the Vietnamese Communist Party and the Chinese Communist Party. In the past, they were completely comrades + brothers. Communism has no motherland. The Communist Party’s propaganda cover says that the proletarians of the world should unite. In order to support Vietnam in fighting the United States, Mao Zedong gave Bailongwei Island to Vietnam. In order to achieve communism, territory is nothing. After that, Vietnam and China had a fight. Under the rule of Deng Xiaoping, China also transformed its relationship with communist countries into ordinary diplomatic relations, relations between countries. But it does not mean that there is no relationship or special relationship between the Chinese Communist Party and the Vietnamese Communist Party. The Chinese Communist Party has a Liaison Department, and the Vietnamese Communist Party has a Foreign Affairs Department. They are all Communists, and they are all born of the same mother. They are carved out of the same mold, and the structure is the same.
Su Lin was officially elected General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam on August 18, 2024. He visited China from August 26 to 28, 2024, and launched a purge after returning to Vietnam.
Nguyen Hoa Binh has served as President of the Supreme Court since 2016. He was dismissed on August 24, 2024 and transferred to Vietnam as the first deputy prime minister.
On August 26, 2024, Li Mingzhi, Secretary of the Secretariat of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam and Prosecutor General of the Supreme Procuratorate, replaced Nguyen Hoa Binh as President of the Supreme People’s Court of Vietnam. The vacant position of Prosecutor General of the Supreme Procuratorate of Li Mingzhi was replaced by Nguyen Huijin.
Chen Liuguang served as Deputy Prime Minister since 2023. He was dismissed on August 21, 2024 and demoted from Deputy Prime Minister to Minister of Economy.
Nguyen Hoa Binh, President of the Supreme Court, replaced Chen Liuguang as Executive Deputy Prime Minister, equivalent to Ding Xuexiang.
The President of the Supreme Court, China is Zhang Jun. Zhang Jun is not familiar to everyone. We can use Wang Xiaohong as a substitute.
If we replace the officials purged by the Vietnamese Communist Party with the corresponding Chinese officials, we will know the strength of the Vietnamese Communist Party’s purge. It is just that the two Communist parties are copying each other’s homework. What happened in Vietnam will soon happen in China.
Vietnamese Deputy Prime Minister in charge of financial affairs, Le Minh Kai, has served as Deputy Prime Minister since 2021. He was dismissed on August 26, 2024. He was dismissed by the Vietnamese National Assembly for violations of the Daning project and was disciplined by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam. His successor is Hu Defu. Hu Defu was originally the Minister of Finance and was appointed as Deputy Prime Minister on August 24, 2024.
This is simply the Vietnamese version of Ho Liphong. The dismissal was also based on anti-corruption. The same formula and the same taste as China. They are all communist countries, and which official is not corrupt? They are all excuses, and anti-corruption is just a tool for political struggle.
Then there is the President of Vietnam. The President of Vietnam is the second-in-command of the Communist Party of Vietnam. Vo Van Thang will serve as the President of Vietnam from March 2, 2023, and is regarded as the successor to Nguyen Phu Trong, the former General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam. But before his death, Nguyen Phu Trong took down Vu Van Thang and replaced him with Su Lin. This must be a palace drama.
On March 20, 2024, Vu Van Thang was suspected of violating party rules, and the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam accepted his resignation from the positions of President of the State, Politburo member, and Central Committee member. In November 2024, the Politburo of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of Vietnam confirmed that Vu Van Thang had violated party discipline and rules, but did not give him any punishment because of his illness.
Su Lin took over as the President of Vietnam and the second-in-command of the Communist Party of Vietnam after the death of Nguyen Phu Trong, the General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam. The replacement in China is Ding Xuexiang or Chen Jining, who was originally Xi Jinping’s spare tire. On the eve of the succession, he was replaced.
After Su Lin was elected General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam in August 2024, he personally served as the President of Vietnam until October 21, 2024, and then resigned as the President of the State. Luong Cuong is a general of the Vietnam People’s Army. He was elected as the president on October 21, 2024. Su Lin chose one of his cronies as the second in command.
When the Vietnamese president went to the airport to see Xi Jinping off, he had actually been the president for only half a year. He also created a fake Xi Mingze. Xi Mingze was originally an American, and she went to Vietnam. This is a whole job.
The four pillars of Vietnam are the general secretary, the president, the prime minister, and the chairman of the National Assembly. In fact, their ranking is definitely not based on the president, and the Communist Party of China is also a party-state, and it is ranked based on the ranking within the party.
In fact, we can know their structure by simply looking at the age of the Vietnamese Communist Party. Su Lin was born in 1957, Luong Cuong in 1957, and Pham Minh Chinh in 1958, which means that the first and second leaders of the Vietnamese Communist Party are the same age, and the third leader is even one year older. That is to say, Su Lin will definitely not let Luong Cuong or Pham Minh Chinh take over, but just partner with himself, and guard against their competition for power. The successor team must be born in the 1960s or even the 1970s.
Vietnamese National Assembly Chairman Tran Thanh Minh in 1962, Standing Secretary of the Secretariat of the Communist Party of Vietnam Tran Kim Hsiu in 1961, Standing Deputy Prime Minister Nguyen Hoa Binh in 1958, Deputy Prime Minister Hu Defu in 1963, Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Bui Thanh Son in 1962, Vice President Vu Thi Anh Xuan in 1970, this is very young at the age of 55, and has already served as Vice President.
If compared with Vietnam, it will be Wang Xiaohong (Minister of Public Security), Ying Yong (Prosecutor General of the Supreme People’s Procuratorate), He Lifeng (Vice Prime Minister), Ding Xuexiang (Member of the Political Bureau Standing Committee and Vice Premier) who will be dismissed at the same time. Wang Xiaohong controls the public security system and is the core figure of Xi Jinping’s “sword handle”; Ying Yong controls the judicial system and directly affects anti-corruption and judicial decision-making; He Lifeng is responsible for economic affairs and is the implementer of macroeconomic policies. Ding Xuexiang is a member of the Political Bureau Standing Committee and a core figure in the highest decision-making level. It means that Xi Jinping’s control over the public security, judicial and economic fields has been completely broken, which is equivalent to the collapse of the core power structure.
We compare the conventional purge mode: Chen Gang served as the Secretary of the Party Committee of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region in December 2024, and the Chairman of Guangxi Autonomous Region Lan Tianli was arrested in May 2025, with an interval of about 5 months, which is in line with the rule of “starting a major purge about half a year after taking office”. This shows that new leaders usually need time to find out the local power network and then purge dissidents through anti-corruption.
Su Lin’s purge is obviously abnormal
Su Lin was officially elected as the General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam on August 3, 2024. Just 18 days later, he visited China from August 19 to 20, 2024, and immediately launched a major purge after returning to China on August 21, with an interval of only 3 days. This speed is far beyond the norm, and the time is tight. It took only 3 days from returning to China to the start of the purge, indicating that Su Lin may have obtained important information during his visit to China, prompting Su Lin to act quickly. Conventional purges require months of preparation, such as investigation and layout, while Su Lin’s actions are almost “immediate response”.
Sensitive targets: The purge directly targeted senior officials in the judicial and economic fields, involving the “knife handle” and economic lifeline, showing that Su Lin was highly vigilant against potential threats.
Chen Gang purged Lan Tianli five months after taking office, which is in line with the conventional rhythm of power consolidation: new officials need to find out the bottom line, unite allies, collect evidence, and then eliminate opponents through anti-corruption. Su Lin’s quick action broke this pattern, indicating that Su Lin was stimulated by external factors and forced him to act in advance.
During his visit to China, Su Lin may have learned about Xi Jinping’s weakening power, which stimulated him to immediately purge after returning to China. Su Lin visited China from August 19 to 20, 2024, during which he met with Xi Jinping and Wang Huning, and Hu Chunhua was also present. Xi Jinping’s voice was “angry and panicked” during the meeting, and he gritted his teeth when he mentioned the “two ruling Communist parties”. He gasped from 2 minutes 44 seconds to 50 seconds in the film, showing his psychological pressure. Some netizens said that the editing of the film may be dubbed in the later stage. Xi Jinping was forced to cooperate with the dubbing, and he may be reluctant.
This netizen said,
This is the video that Dabao reviewed again. It is obviously a patchwork editing. When Baozi spoke in the close-up shot, there was no one next to him, and the distance from the neighbor in the long shot was inconsistent, which shows that it was added afterwards. The tone of the speech was obviously reading from a script, and the rhythm was slower than usual, which seemed reluctant. There was another shot in which Su Lin’s right hand was disconnected.
When Su Lin met with Wang Huning, Hu Chunhua was present. Su Lin was “obviously in high spirits”, but when he met Xi Jinping, he “had a livid face”, which may imply that Su Lin learned that Hu Chunhua would replace Xi Jinping. As communist countries, there may be a tacit understanding between China and Vietnam that “the truth cannot be concealed”. The appearance of Hu Chunhua and the change in Su Lin’s attitude support this speculation. On July 19, 2024, Nguyen Phu Trong died. China only sent a condolence message in the name of the CPC Central Committee. Xi Jinping and other senior officials did not send a condolence message in person, resulting in a major diplomatic mistake.
Although Xi Jinping made amends, the signature was obviously different from when he condoled Cuba in 2016, and a substitute may have been used. We don’t know the specific situation. US National Security Advisor Sullivan specifically asked to meet Zhang Youxia to inquire about the ownership of China’s nuclear button, indicating that the United States has learned that Xi Jinping has stepped down, and Sullivan’s intelligence may come from Su Lin.
After returning to China, Su Lin held a 6-day meeting to replace several senior officials including the President of the Supreme Court, the Attorney General and the Deputy Prime Minister, and passed the information to Sullivan, indicating Su Lin’s concern about domestic power consolidation and international influence.
It’s very simple. After Su Lin returned from his visit to China, he suddenly wanted to purge. He must have asked for the consent of his allies Liang Qiang and Fan Mingzheng, right? Liang Qiang and Fan Mingzheng must ask for the reason, otherwise they will decide that Su Lin is crazy? Why is there such an impatient purge?
In addition, in November 2024, Zhang Youxia, Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission, visited Vietnam and was received by the Vietnamese side with an extraordinary reception. Vietnamese President Liang Qiang personally met with him, and the specifications exceeded the conventional diplomatic courtesy. Liang Qiang is the second-in-command of the Communist Party of Vietnam, which is equivalent to the deputy general secretary, if there is such a position.
On October 12, 2024, Chinese Premier Li Qiang visited Vietnam, met with Su Lin and attended the signing ceremony of the China-Vietnam Cooperation Agreement. The Vietnamese side arranged an extra-standard state guest welcome ceremony, and Vietnamese Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh accompanied him throughout the whole process, showing special attention to Li Qiang. These extra-standard receptions may reflect Vietnam’s sensitive reaction to the power change of China’s top leaders, further proving that Su Lin may have learned that Xi Jinping was about to step down when he visited China, prompting Su Lin to quickly purge to consolidate his own power.
Let’s summarize the timeline.
On August 3, 2024, Su Lin served as General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam.
From August 19 to 20, 2024, Su Lin visited China and met with Hu Chunhua.
On August 21, 2024, a large-scale purge of the knife handle + Deputy Prime Minister of Economy.
On August 30, 2024, Sullivan met Zhang Youxia.
On October 12, 2024, Li Qiang visited Vietnam and received a high-level reception.
In November 2024, Zhang Youxia visited Vietnam and received a high-level reception.
These are all objective facts. So what is the real reason behind so many things happening? We can only speculate that Xi Jinping has stepped down.
Okay, thank you everyone.
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